Fantasy Value Free Falling for Bills C.J. Spiller

Those who took Bills running back C.J. Spiller as their first round pick this year are likely unhappy with what they’ve gotten out of him so far. Many are wondering if they should trade Spiller while they could still get decent value out of him.

Through 3 games, Spiller has totaled just 182 yards from scrimmage (60.6 yards per game) and is yet to score a touchdown. Though he had a nice 103-yard week in week 2 against Carolina, he had a dismal performance this past Sunday at the Jets, totaling just 10 yards from scrimmage and fumbling twice.

The Jets have been the 3rd hardest defense for running backs to score against in fantasy this season, proving it again as they limited Spiller. Unfortunately, the Bills have a tough stretch of rush defenses coming up including the Ravens, Browns and Bengals during Weeks 4 through 6 respectively.

Spiller left Sunday’s game with an upper thigh injury after just 10 rushing attempts. He expects to play this Sunday against the Ravens, but is evidently banged up and likely won’t be at full strength. Backup running back Fred Jackson already has 45 touches this season and the team will not be afraid to continue using him. Expect the Bills to split time between the two backs, perhaps giving Jackson a better portion of the work.

If Spiller can get healthy, there are decent match-ups for him beyond Week 6. Fred Jackosn is injury prone having missed 12 games from 2010 to 2011, so Spiller will become a better play as the season wears on. Spiller may continue to see some lousy weeks, but he’s talented enough to bounce back and have a great second half of the season.

You don’t want to miss out on his services come fantasy playoff time, as Buffalo faces underwhelming rush defenses against the Buccaneers, Jaguars and Dolphins in weeks 14 through 16.

If you can still get top-dollar value for Spiller, it’s not a bad idea to trade him. He’s not going to be consistent for the remainder of the first half of the season. However, if you can make do with other running backs  for the time being, then hold onto him. There’s a good chance he bounces back down the stretch.

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