Final Fantasy Verdict on Santonio Holmes

Wjile playing for the Jets, Holmes has little upside

While playing for the Jets, Holmes has little upside

Jets wide out Santonio Holmes has a good chance of playing in the season opener against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday. Holmes participated in some light drills at the beginning of practice on Monday, showing that he’s regained his ability to run and cut.

Holmes was out for most of the 2012 season after suffering a Lisfranc foot injury in week 4. He’s been rehabbing from surgery since then and did not gear up for any of the Jets preseason games. It seems likely that he will be on the field for week 1, which brings up the question of whether he’s worth adding in fantasy football.

Before his injury last season, Holmes was having a solid start to the season. During Weeks 1 through 3, Holmes had already racked up 243 yards (81 yards on average) and a touchdown. During a 2011 season with very few experienced receiving options, it seemed like Holmes could be at least a low-end FLEX option in fantasy. Yet there’s little to indicate that he can post those kinds of number in 2013.

For one thing, there’s no guarantee of who will be throwing the ball to Holmes. The quarterback situation in New York is a fantasy disaster with Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and Matt Simms. Smith will likely get the start for Week 1, but that could change from week to week.

Regardless, Holmes will still be competing for targets against former 2nd round pick Stephen Hill, and the team’s emerging possession receiver, Jeremy Kerley. No Jets quarterback is likely to create 3 fantasy relevant receivers, and there’s no a guarantee that there will even be one.

Holmes is currently owned in only 5.4% of ESPN fantasy leagues, but there’s no reason to rush out and get him. With wide receiver being such a deep position, you’re better off taking a chance on the upside of someone like Quinton Patton, Cordarrelle Patterson or Kenbrell Thompkins. Unless Holmes proves otherwise at the start of the season, he’s no more than a low-end FLEX option.

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